Tuesday, December 6, 2005

Twins Thoughts

NFL "EXPERT" Picks  

 

Word Association with

Stick & Ball Guy

 

Good Morning everyone! Before I get started, I want to thank Bill Ferris for doing a Blogger Profile on me on his BaseBlogging.net site. Check it out here. From that, I have to thank Brent Hanson of BrentNet for helping me figure out how to post comments on my site. So, for the first time today, you will be able to see and post comments right on the site. OF course, you can still e-mail me, but I'm testing out the Comments concept.

 

Something a little bit different with this week's Q&A session. I asked Stick and Ball Guy (heretofore referred to as SBG) if he would be interested in participating in a second Q&A. Last January, I had a Q&A with SBG where he answered a number of questions about himself and his site. You also remember that on two occasions, I have participated in a game of Pepper! on his site. In that game, he picks ten topics and I get 50 (or 60) words on the subject. He does the same thing, and it makes for a very interesting give and take. Nothing like reading a couple of different perspectives on the same topic. So, in using that logic, I thought it would be interesting for he and I to talk about the Twins, Wolves and Vikings. We each answered a couple of questions on each team, but the primary thing is that we talk about the players. Instead of 50 words, we gave each other 15-20 words on each player.  It is kind of interesting to see that on some players we agree, while on other players we completely disagree.  So, let's get right to it! (Below, you will find some Twins Thoughts, other baseball thoughts and more)

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If you have any comments for me or SBG, please e-mail me, and I will try to answer your questions or forward them on to him and see if we can get you an answer. Of course, you can always go to the Stick and Ball Guy's site and write him directly.

 

Let the Debates Begin!

 

TWINS

Johan Santana -

SBG - Best pitcher in the game

SS - Best starter in the offensive league. Should have won the Cy Young easily!

Brad Radke -

SBG - Disappointing 2005.  I think this will be his last year in a Twins uniform.  For me, he is the face of the franchise.  

SS - So consistent. He is the epitome of the veteran #2 starter. I hope the Twins keep him and he retires as a Twin. That said, if we can send him home in exchange for Carl Crawford, I believe I would smile really big!

Carlos Silva -

SBG - Bulldog.  Pitched hurt all year.  Was ticked when he spoke his mind and was criticized for it.  This guy was fantastic in 2005.

SS - He’s tough! To do what he did on that knee was amazing. Twins should trade him now!

Kyle Lohse -

SBG - Good year.  The manager’s door thing, bah.  These things happen.  He’ll be a good pitcher for someone and hopefully the Twins can trade him for value.

SS - Twins can’t afford to keep him. As an ‘average’ starting pitcher, they should be able to get something decent for him.

Joe Mays -

SBG - On the one hand, he got his money.  On the other hand, his career got ruined by injury.  Big waste of money for the Twins, but not his fault.

SS - Never got it back. I hope some team gives him a shot and he can just be healthy.

Francisco Liriano -

SBG - I hope people are patient.  He may take some lumps.

SS - The phrase “reminiscent of Santana” is such a wonderful sound to the ears of Twins fans. He’ll be great, just keep him out of the bullpen!

Scott Baker -

SBG - Nice job last year.  Very nice.

SS - Poised like Radke, just throws harder and has better breaking pitches.

Joe Nathan -

SBG - It seems to me that he’s a little streaky.  I mean when he’s getting hit, he’s getting hit.  BUT, usually, he’s NOT getting hit.

SS - Should be mentioned in the same breath as Rivera, Lidge and Wagner. Incredible stuff!

Juan Rincon -

SBG - You have to wonder how he’ll respond this year.  

SS - Took awhile after the suspension, but he was lights out again the last two months of the season.

JC Romero -

SBG - It seems like he has million dollar arm and 50 cent head.

SS - Knock. Knock. Who’s there?! Hopefully not JC Romero! Must be traded. Change of scenery would be best for him and the team.

Jesse Crain -

SBG - Throws hard, but no strikeouts is troubling.  Not surprisingly, the Twins’ defensive efficiency behind him was off the charts great this year.

SS - Can’t explain the lack of strikeouts when I see a fastball at 94-95, a slider at 88 and one of the sharpest curves in the game!

Matt Guerrier -

SBG - Did a surprisingly good job.

SS - Vastly underrated performer. I want him to get a Win. Could be #5 starter to start season, but should reclaim his 2005 job.

Terry Mulholland -

SBG - You have to admire his longevity.  I never want to criticize him, because he’s so damned gritty.

SS - He’s done a lot, for a long time. That type of pitcher has a role on any team... pitching coach!

Boof Bonser -

SBG - I used to read a Giants blog called “Waiting for Boof.”  It’s now the McCovey Chronicles.  We’re waiting for Boof, but I think he’ll get a shot at some point in 2006.

SS - Shocked that he didn’t get a September call-up. Could he replace Radke in 2007?

JD Durbin -

SBG - See JC Romero.  Hopefully, he can get the gray matter aligned this year.

SS - Still could be so good. The arrogance just really caught up with him when his control was lost. I’m agreeing on a move to the bullpen.

David Gassner -

SBG - AAAA  

SS - 2nd lefty reliever, or Rochester starter for years.

Joe Mauer -

SBG - Will he hit for power?  That’s the question.  That’s a lot better question to ask than “will his knee hold up?”.

SS - There is nothing to not like about him. Perfect swing. Perfect approach at plate. Calls a great game and throws would-be basestealers out. And still just 22!

Mark Redmond -

SBG - Guess what.  We DON’T miss Henry Blanco.  Terrific backup.

SS - Knew he was better than Blanco, but didn’t expect him to be that good. Seems to display strong leadership skills.

Justin Morneau -

SBG - I don’t know what to think.  I missed the mark by plenty last year.

SS - Disappointing 2005, but too strong a hitting background to give up on him at this point. .280 with 35 homers in 2006? I’m always a year ahead in my predictions.

Matthew LeCroy -

SBG - I’d have kept this guy.  He murders left handed pitching.  His salary wasn’t that high.

SS - Solid contributor, but very one-dimensional and replaceable. Actually, I would not be surprised if he comes back at a discount.

Luis Rivas -

SBG - It’s too bad for him that the Twins signed him last year.  If Guzman was worth $17 million to somebody, Rivas could have gotten what, $7 million for a couple of years?  Good luck with that now.  Oh, and it was too bad for us, too.

SS - Ding… Dong… Rivas is gone! All Twins fans, throw your hands in the air, and wave ‘em all around like you just don’t care!

Luis Rodriguez -

SBG - Utility player on a team of utility players.

SS - Great approach at the plate. Swings at strikes. Doesn’t strikeout. Line drives. Should have played more 2B last year.

Nick Punto -

SBG - If he never plays another game for the Twins, that’d be okay with me.  Not that I don’t like the guy, but he’s just not any good.  At all.

SS - Did a GREAT job of proving that he is a decent second utility player!

Jason Bartlett -

SBG - If Punto could have 400 at bats last year, why couldn’t Bartlett?  That is a question that I think a lot of people would like answered.

SS - Is Bartlett the next Cuddyer? Is he the guy that actually doesn’t do too bad but gets blamed for everything? Great AB’s and much better defensively than I thought.

Juan Castro -

SBG - Another utility player.  The two year deal shows that Ryan just wasn’t thinking clearly on the infield last year.  Is solid defensively, though.

SS - He actually had a solid year in 2005… He was still horrible, but good for him. Good defender with what he gets to, little range.

Michael Cuddyer -

SBG - I kind of like your idea that the Twins should trade him.  I feel bad for the kid.  Has been a scapegoat in a lot of people’s minds.  Needs a change of scenery.

SS - Mr. Ryan, please trade Cuddyer. If Cuddy’s gone and the Twins still struggle, who will Gardy have to blame???

Terry Tiffee -

SBG - Had that nice run at the end of 2004, but he’s not a major league caliber baseball player.

SS - He has to be asking himself what made him try to knock down Pudge in a September game two years ago. Hasn’t been the same since.

Glenn Williams -

SBG - Wow.  What a heartbreaker.  It’s easy to criticize players, but Williams reminds us that these guys are human beings with dreams, like the rest of us.  For him to work so long and hard for a shot and then have it blow up like that, that’s pretty tough.

SS - Big bonus guy who kept working hard. What a start to his big league career. It’s just so unfortunate that it ended diving into 1B! I think he’ll be with the Twins out of training camp in 2006 though.

Shannon Stewart -

SBG - I like him.  But, I’m afraid that it’s all downhill from here.  

SS - He had a horrible 2005 season. Worst leadoff hitter in league. 2006 is a contract year, so I hope he can have a big year!

Torii Hunter -

SBG - On the extremely short list of best defensive Twins ever.  Too bad that he hasn’t developed an offensive game to match his prodigious defensive talent.  He’s now heading along the downside.  I really hoped the Twins would trade him because he could have brought some pieces to rebuild this broken offense.  Now that seems unlikely.

SS - He had his bi-annual good month this year, in June, but was horrible as always other than that. Even his defense was worse than usual. Then the injury. Then his complaints. Then the punch. Then the post-season quotes! Please! Trade Torii!

Jacque Jones -

SBG - My friend Moss can’t stand to watch him play.  He has absolutely driven me insane.  If Hunter stays, he has to go.  Can’t have that much undisciplined hitting in the lineup.  I think Gardy’s installation of him in the leadoff spot and his refusal to platoon him is his biggest failing as a manager.

SS - Loved the big home runs and the smile. Hated his plate appearances against lefties and the throws in the turf or into the bleachers. I definitely wish him well with Toronto, or St. Louis, or Seattle, or whoever.

Lew Ford -

SBG - I think that the 2005 Lew Ford is the real Lew Ford.  He can really play in the field.  He should have played in the outfield last year all the time.  He doesn’t have enough bat to DH.

SS - Another of Gardy's whipping boys. No, he wasn't as good in '05 as '04, but he's no worse than that other CF!

Michael Ryan -

SBG - Good luck Mike.

SS - So many chances because of one good month. Hopefully the Braves are good to him!

Jason Tyner -

SBG - AAAA

SS - Great speed. Gardy's kind of guy. I'm sure he'll make the team, and Gardy will want to play him way too much!

Ron Gardenhire -

SBG - Let’s put it this way.  If he were managing, say, the Boston Red Sox, he’d be the former manager.

SS - Has his favorites, that's for sure. He will not touch "TK's" guys at all. Gets thrown out way too much! Needs to understand splits (like lefties hitting against lefties, etc.)

Terry Ryan -

SBG - I think that he’s been a very good GM for this team in some respects.  Had a rough off-season last year and seems too unwilling to trade prospects.  But he’s been very good at unloading expensive talent.  Too loyal to Gardenhire.  Should have fired him.

SS - I really think he has done a good job for the most part in his trades. Had the great deals before the 2004 season. The 2005 pick ups were not so great. Has his work cut out for him this winter.

Carl Pohlad -

SBG - I’m not sure he realizes this, but he can’t take it with him.  I love baseball more than money, which is why if I were 100 years old, had his money, and had a baseball team right now, I’d be spending a helluva lot more.  

SS - How much does he really still do? I think his sons make most of the decisions. If he really wants to win, he'd step up.

How much lee-way should Ron Gardenhire have in 2006?

SBG -

If I were the GM, the first time he lost a game, I’d fire him.  Is that being unreasonable?  Seriously, I think this team needs a new direction.  But, since he is going to be the manager, I’d let him fill out the lineup card.  But, if he pulls crap like not playing Bartlett, I’d be in his office right now and put a stop to that.  By doing whatever it takes.

SS - If TR provides the players, Gardy has to start using them the right ways. I understand that sometimes gut-feel is good, but sometimes the "right" move is the right move! A bad start and he should be gone, but I'm afraid he'll last the year.

Name three free agents that you would like to see the Twins pursue?

SBG -

Frank Thomas – why not.  He has to come cheap, but he is worth a shot. Nomar?

SS - Nomar Garciaparra, Bill Mueller, and how about Julio Franco or Sammy Sosa?

TIMBERWOLVES

 

Kevin Garnett -

SBG - Best Minnesota pro sports athlete of all time.

SS - Most gifted, most unselfish athlete I've seen. Seems to be a great teammate! Best all around player in NBA.

Wally Szczerbiak -

SBG - Overpaid, but is a legitimate offensive threat on a team with few of those.  Can’t stand to watch him dribble.

SS - Incredible shooter. Needs to get 15 shots a game. Should never dribble.

Marko Jaric -

SBG - Has shown some quick hands on defense.  I don’t know.  He doesn’t do a whole lot for me.

SS - I still like this acquisition. May have overpaid, but it meant ridding team of Sam Cassell, which is a good thing! Has a lot of valuable skills and good size. 

Trenton Hassell -

SBG - His defense has been good.  

SS - Great defender two years ago. Average at best last year. OK this year. Way overpaid. Should not shoot!

Michael Olowokandi -

SBG - Clearly, he is limited.  But, he’s been better, I think.  Then I look and see he’s shooting, what, 43%?  For a big man that’s no good.  He just can’t power his way to the basket.  But, at least he doesn’t look dead out there this year.

SS - Is he actually playing well? Not really, but not bad for him. Hopefully he can be traded for something decent!

Troy Hudson -

SBG - Better.  The guy was disastrous last year.  No defense, streaky offense.  If Casey controls his minutes, he can be effective.  But, wow, way too much money.

SS - He's doing OK again this year. Seems to be under a little more control.

Anthony Carter -

SBG - Plays hard.  Not talented enough to play much, but he’s good in very short spots.  

SS - Very solid veteran. Should probably play more minutes at the point. Great distributor. It's hard to remember how good he was with Miami in their heyday!

Richie Frahm -

SBG - He’s no Fred Hoiberg.  

SS - A younger version of Fred Hoiberg. Not as consistent, but then again, neither are his minutes.

Ronald Dupree -

SBG - It seems like I’m not watching when he’s playing.  I haven’t seen him play in about three weeks.  

SS - Who? Just kidding. He provides some fouls and effort.

Eddie Griffin -

SBG - Worst offensive player on the team.  Has no inside game.  Can’t shoot the three anymore.  Blocks shots, but does he play good defense?  

SS - I just don't know what to make of him. He has long arms and a lot of ability, but is any of it being used?

Mark Madsen -

SBG - Worst offensive player in the league.  But not worst on the team because he knows enough not to shoot.

SS - Every team needs a guy like this. He may be is awful offensively, but he understands that and knows what he can provide to the team.

Nikolaz Tskitischvili -

SBG - Kept Ndudi Ebi off the roster.

SS - I would really like to see what he could do with some playing time, but I guess I don't know who he would take minutes from.

Dwayne Casey -

SBG - I like what he’s done.  It seems that the Wolves are more defensive minded and that the ball goes through KG at crunch time.  I think he’ll prod this team to a playoff spot.  Good hire.

SS - I've liked him since first hearing him on the radio. The defense being preached seems to be transfering into the game. Good discipline, and has a good offensive system that gets KG shots.

Kevin McHale -

SBG - Just look at the roster after KG.  He did that.  I have found the team to be entertaining and I have hope, but the expectations should be much higher with the best player in the league on the team.  I hold McHale responsible for ruining KG’s prime.

SS - Hall of Fame player, Hall of Shame GM. What has he done besides get lucky with Garnett? The Joe Smith thing? Some horrid draft picks? Terrible contracts? He should have lost his job, not Flip Saunders!

Glen Taylor -

SBG - Glen, you need to find a GM.  You’ve spent on this team, you refurbished the arena, you saved the franchise from Harv and Marv.  Now, go out and get a GM.

SS - I wish he'd buy the Twins. He gave the team the money to win. Worked for a year. He did his part and continues to support the team.

Flip Saunders -

SBG - I liked Flip.  He’s probably happier now.  I hope he wins the championship.

SS - The scapegoat for the Wolves woes last year. He's a great coach, and I'm glad he got the Detroit job. Maybe he'll get the respect he should have got the whole time.

Lebron James is arguably the best all-around player in the NBA right now (I still say KG, but, it is close). He won’t turn 21 until late this month. Michael Jordan was not a complete player until he turned 26 or 27. What is the ceiling for what James could do in his career?

SBG - I don’t think it’s fair to compare anyone to Jordan.  That’s a pretty bright light.  Let’s just say this.  If he doesn’t get hurt, if he doesn’t get too full of himself, if he has the right guys around him, he could end up in the pantheon right alongside Bird and Magic.  But, he’s going to have to win championships.  One thing I don’t like is that his assist numbers are down from 7.2 last year to 4.8.

SS - Assuming health, he will be a better player than Jordan. I'm one who doesn't believe in championships determining a player's career. Karl Malone and John Stockton were great players who made their teammates better, but didn't win. As long as James keeps doing everything, he will go down as the best.

Outside of Kobe Bryant, who is the most NBA's most selfish player? Carmelo Anthony or Stephon Marbury?

SBG - ‘Melo has been a whipping boy among my friends since his rookie season.  Stevie has shown tremendous ability to make teams worse (or rather, they are better when he leaves), despite his considerable talent.  I’m going to go with Marbury only because Anthony is still young and could learn.

SS - Starbury... but not by much! And to think, there are a lot of people who want him back in a Wolves uniform!

VIKINGS (25 words per position)

 

The QB Situation -

SBG - Johnson’s done a very good job.  I don’t think Daunte will be ready next year.  That is very bad news, because he really is the franchise player.

SS - Daunte is the Franchise. We can just hope the he is sitting back and seeing how Brad Johnson manages a game. The combination of Culpepper's talent and skill coupled with the team's new strategies could make him great!

The Running Backs -

SBG - This team needs a running back badly. 

SS - I guess I now understand why so many people don't think MeMo can be a featured back. He's great, but always hurt. Bennett is ok. Onterrio is a mess. Boy, Reggie Bush would be nice!

The Wide Receivers -

SBG - Been a tough year.  K-Rob has been a nice surprise.  It looks like Williamson wasn’t a bad pick compared to Mike Williams.  But that ain’t saying much.  If Moss wasn’t banged up and looking much older than ever before, I’d really be screaming.  But even so, not good.

SS - I truly believed Burleson was an All-Pro caliber receiver. I'm not saying he won't be, but this year was bad. Just no consistent go-to receiver.

The Offensive Line -

SBG - Not a banner year, but look, they’ve played about 10 guys there this year.  Losing Birk didn’t help, and I wonder if he’ll be back next year with the same ability.  

SS - They really do miss Burk badly. But they have not been very good at all. Penalties and no continuity have hurt. But again, since the Culpepper injury, something has worked. 

The Defensive Line -

SBG - Pat Williams.  Yes, sir.  

SS - They are playing great considering Udeze missed most of the year and Kevin Williams has been terrible. Pat Williams is a stud, and CJ Moseley has been a great 6th round pick!

The Linebackers -

SBG - Better than last year.  Honestly, it’s kind of hard to say.  The defense got blown off the field against teams like Cincinnati.  The last several games, who have they played?  Detroit twice, Cleveland and the Packers?  These teams suck and have no running game.

SS - Keith Newman has been incredible, as incredible as Napolean Harris has been horrible. But overally, they are not doing too poorly.

The Defensive Backs -

SBG - Smoot didn’t work out, but Sharper has.  And Winfield has been good again.

SS - The DBs have been great. Smoot has the Steve Smith game, but other than that, he's been great. Winfield is such a sure tackler. Sharper is making big play after big play. Chavous, B-Will and even Devonte Edwards. They're all getting the job done!

Mike Tice -

SBG - I like Mike.  He’ll be a good offensive coordinator someday.

SS - I thought he was gone after the Cincinnati loss, and for sure after the Love Boat. But to turn around this situation is nothing short of remarkable!

Rod Bzrzynski/Scott Studwell -

SBG - Hard to say.  They’ve been handicapped by the previous owner quite a bit.  Some of their free agent signings have been great (Winfield, P. Williams).  Then, there’s the comedy of draft day.  I would like to see one guy run the show.

SS - Good signings this year. They were held back so badly by Red McCombs, it's hard to judge. They haven't done well on draft day, but some mid and late round picks are doing well.

Zygi Wilf -

SBG - I am optimistic that he’ll return this team to respectability.  I think he’s going to be a good owner.  The Red McCombs era was disastrous.  Wilf seems to really want to have a team that he can be proud of.  That’s the difference between a real estate developer and a used car salesman.  

SS - Hopefully he'll really do something about the Vikings bad public image. That should be a priority, along with allowing the management and coaches to do what they need to win. 

In the end, how many wins will the Vikings have? Will it be enough to make the playoffs?

SBG - I think they’ll win 9 games.  They have St. Louis and Baltimore on the schedule and they should beat those two teams.  But, it’s not going to be enough.  The Bears will win the division and two of Dallas, Tampa Bay and Atlanta will pick be the Wild Cards.

SS - I think that they'll lose to St. Louis, but then beat the Steelers and Ravens. The Bears game won't matter to either team, so they'll win. 10-6, and the 6th spot in the playoffs. 

Will Mike Tice be the Vikings coach in 2006?

SBG - No.  Unless Zygi doesn’t have any money left.

SS - I really think that he will be back, unless they lose three out of their final four.

And there you have it. A little game of Word Association with SBG and Seth! I am sure that you disagree with at least a few of these picks. Or maybe you just agree with everything we said. Be sure to send us an e-mail and let us know what you think. And, be sure to head over to Stick & Ball Guy's site and bookmark it!

 

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If you would like to read any previous Q&A's, here is a checklist:

 

11/29/05 - Q&A with Chris Brown (Twins 1B prospect who spent 2005 in Beloit)

11/25/05 - Q&A with Seth (your questions for me)

11/23/05 - Q&A with Pat Neshek (Twins Relief Pitching Prospect, just added to 40 man roster)

11/15/05 - Q&A with Jeff Dooley (the voice of the New Britain Rock Cats)

11/8/05 - Q&A with David Dorsey (local writer for The News-Press in Ft. Myers, FL)

11/1/05 - Q&A with Aaron Gleeman (Twins Blogger Extraordinaire)

10/25/05 - Q&A with Mark Sheldon (Twins Beat Reporter for MLB.com)

10/18/05 - Q&A with Kevin Slowey (another top pitching prospect, Twins 2nd round pick in 2005)

10/11/05 - Q&A with Wes Holtsclaw (local writer for the Elizabethton Twins)

10/5/05 - Q&A with Eli Tintor (Minnesota-native, catching prospect who played 2005 in E-Town)

7/28/05 - Q&A with Jim Mandelaro (local writer for the Rochester Red Wings)

2/28/05 - Q&A with Pat Neshek (Minnesota-native, reliever prospect who played 2005 at New Britain)

1/27/05 - Q&A with Stick and Ball Guy (one of the best bloggers out there!)

12/17/04 - Q&A with Alexander Smit (Holland-native, pitching prospect spent 2005 between Beloit and E-Town)

5/28/04 - Q&A with CJ Nitkowski (big league pitcher, spent Spring Training 2005 with the Twins)

04/19/04 - Q&A with Jim Souhan (Star-Tribune Baseball Writer, now a columnist)

 

 

TWINS THOUGHTS

 

NFL "EXPERT" PICKS

What a week! Three individuals, along with our group, were all 15-1! Three more people went 14-2. Trevor Born and Cory Hepola both went 15-1 to remain in the top two spots.  We're down to just four more weeks. Should be interesting to see what happens.

(For more on our panel or our picks, check out the NFL "Expert" Picks page here.)

 

 

Final Standings Total Week 13   Over All  
Name Site

W

L Win% W L Win %
Trevor Born Twins Junkie 15 1 93.8% 140 52 72.9%
Cory Hepola KTVH-TV Sports 15 1 93.8% 138 54 71.9%
Seth Stohs SethSpeaks.net 14 2 87.5% 136 56 70.8%
SethSpeaks Panel   15 1 93.8% 131 54 70.8%
Aaron Gleeman Aaron's BB Blog 13 3 81.3% 131 61 68.2%
Mike Brasel Fantasy FB Guru 12 4 75.0% 130 62 67.7%
Stick & Ball Guy Stick & Ball Guy 15 1 93.8% 129 63 67.2%
Will Young Will's Twins Blog 12 4 75.0% 126 66 65.6%
Ben Jacobs Hardball Times 14 2 87.5% 125 67 65.1%
Brent Hanson BrentNet 12 4 75.0% 124 68 64.6%
Melissa Lien SethSpeaks.net 12 4 75.0% 123 69 64.1%
Grant Balfour Twins Relief Pitcher 14 2 87.5% 119 73 62.0%
Kevin Slowey Twins Pitching Prospect 10 6 62.5% 109 83 56.8%

 

And on that note, I will call it a day. Tomorrow, we should be back with another Why Baseball article. I certainly hope that you found the Word Association with Stick & Ball Guy as fun and interesting as I did. If you have any questions or comments, please e-mail me.

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