Friday, May 25, 2007
SethSpeaks Top 50
Twins Prospects
Part 1 - #41-50
Good Morning and Happy Friday everyone! Well, a long weekend is ahead of us and I can't wait! Just so you know, there will not be a full-fledged, major posting until Tuesday. However, it is likely that I will do some mini-postings over the weekend, particularly if anything major happens. So, check back from time to time.
First things first. Congratulations to Jason Miller! Dennys Reyes was put on the Disabled List and the Twins purchased the contract of the lefty Jason Miller. The 24 year old Jason Miller was drafted by the Twins in the 4th round of the 2000 draft out of his Sarasota, Florida, high school. The Twins have been patient and slowly moved him through the system. He spent a year and a half in the rookie leagues. He spent a year and a half in Low A ball. He spent a year in High-A ball. He spent about a year and a half in New Britain. He has been with Rochester since late in the 2005 season. And now, when the Twins take on the Toronto Blue Jays tonight, Jason Miller will be in the big leagues for the first time in his career. Congratulations!
Tonight, Scott Baker will make his second mound appearance and face Jesse Litsch, who will be making his third big league start for the Blue Jays.
Today, I am going to start with part one of a five part series on my choices for the top fifty Twins prospects. Originally, I just did a Top 30 Twins prospect list. A while ago, I made it a Top 50 prospect list. I think you will notice that there are some decent minor leaguers that are missing from this list, so I could easily make this a Top 60 Twins prospect list. But, I am going to keep it at 'just' fifty.
Before I get into the list, I need to point out a few things about the list. You can call it my Disclaimer... or just my thoughts on prospect lists. The first thing that I have to say is that, if they haven't played in the major leagues, I probably haven't seen them play, at least not more than a spring training at bat or two. So, my thoughts are really very opinion based. However, it is certainly more than that. Those who have been to this site the last few seasons know that I have posted highlights of all of the Twins minor league affiliates throughout their seasons. Looking at the box scores daily and following the player's stats and promotions, etc., I feel that I at least have some idea of what type of player each is. But I am also a firm believer that some subjectivity needs to go into scouting, and I don't have that. It isn't necessary all about numbers at the minor league levels.
A few other factors matter when coming up with this list. For pitchers, I will look at strikeouts, walks and hits per inning. Obviously I prefer pitchers who can rack up some strikeouts without walking very many. It may be unfair, but generally, I will rank starting pitchers higher than relievers simply because I know that the Twins have a philosophy to keep their best prospects starting, unless their names are Jesse Crain or Pat Neshek.
For hitters, I will look at power numbers. In the minor leagues, that does not necessarily mean home runs. I am a big fan of doubles. I will also look at their strikeout and walk numbers. Remember in my past prospect lists, I included Luis Rodriguez. He may not have a high ceiling, but I looked highly upon him because he has always walked more than he struck out.
For any player, though, I will look at their age in relation to their level of play. A player may hit just .250 in a season, but if he is just 19 years old and playing in Hi-A ball, I will likely have him higher up on the list than a guy hitting .300 in Low A at age 23.
But in the end, these prospects lists can be defined by three words... Just a Guess. I don't know. We don't know. Things like injuries or trades happen and alter the lists. There are late bloomers who will contribute to the Twins. Some of the high-level pitching prospects may never get out of AA ball. Fact is, trying to determine a list of which players will have the biggest impact at the major league level is very difficult. It may look like I have a good list, or there may be some rankings that you disagree with, but we won't know how "right" I was for another five to eight, to even ten years down the line.
So, to summarize, please don't take this list of prospects as anything too serious. It is simply a list of Twins prospects in an order that I feel is most right, right now. Remember, I last did a Top 50 prospect list right before the season started. Before that, the most recent one was last September, right after the season ended. Really, what it amounts to is a fun list to create some discussion. Ultimately, as someone who follows the Twins minor leagues, I feel that all fifty of the players that I rank deserve mention. They deserve a little recognition among Twins fans.
That is enough of an introduction, right? Let's get to the list! You will see that for each player, I will give their name, position and age. I will note which team or teams they have played for in 2007. I will mention how the team acquired him. I will share a few thoughts on the player. I will try to guess where he will end the 2007 season, and finally, I will project when the player could make a major league debut. This is, of course, assuming that the player will eventually make the major leagues. Of course, there is no way to know that, and many from this list will probably not get there. And just as important, there will likely be several others that are not on this list will make the Twins active roster at some point.
If you have any questions or comments on any of these players or their rankings, I would love to hear your thoughts. The other three parts of this list will be posted next week, culminating in the Top 10 list next Friday. Also next week, I have another Q&A lined up with another Twins prospect. If you have thoughts, or if you have a Top 10, 20, 30, or 50 Prospect list, I would love to see it and share it with other Twins fans, so please e-mail me or leave Comments below.
SethSpeaks Top 50 Twins Prospects
#50
–
Robert
Delaney –
RHP – 22
2007 Team: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: signed with Twins as undrafted free agent out of St. John's University
The Twins have done quite well with their free agent signings the last couple of years. Following the 2005 draft, the Twins signed Dan Leatherman and he has done very well. After the 2006 season, they signed Cole DeVries and he has done great in Beloit this season. Either of them could have been in this #50 spot, but I went with Robert Delaney, who signed with the Twins after the 2006 draft. He spent most of last year with the GCL Twins and pitched 33 innings in 17 games. He struck out 27 and walked... just one! He started this season in Beloit and has been dominant as the team's closer. In 18 games, he has thrown 26 innings. He has 15 saves in 15 chances. He has struck out 28 and walked just four. He has given up just 12 hits (for a 0.62 WHIP).
2007 Projection: midseason promotion to Ft. Myers
Potential: short-reliever
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#49 –
Doug Deeds – OF/1B – 24
2007 Team: Rochester Red Wings
Acquired: Twins 9th round pick in 2002 out of The Ohio State University
Each of the last two years, Deeds has hit great at New Britain. He has had over 50 extra base hits. So, the fact that he is just hitting .203/.298/284 in his first six weeks at Rochester has not made me lose hope. He has less than 90 plate appearances. He is not getting a lot of playing time behind the likes of Denard Span, Trent Oeltjen and Garrett Jones. But the guy can hit and he will hit when given the opportunity. I've always felt that he can become comparable to Jay Gibbons and be a big league backup corner outfielder, 1B and pinch hitter. But, we shall see.
2007 Projection: OF and 1B at Rochester. Hopefully a cup of coffee.
Potential: good hitting 5th OF, backup 1B, pinch hitter - Comp. Jay Gibbons
Could be in Minnesota in: 2008
#48
–
Steven Tolleson – IF
– 23
2007 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 5th Round Pick in 2005 out of U. of South Carolina
Tolleson spent about half of 2006 in Ft. Myers and hit .268/.353/.408. He is back at Ft. Myers to start this season and after getting off to a fast start, he has cooled off. However, he has definitely maintained his ability to take a lot of walks. So far this year, he is hitting .255/.374/.301. He has 28 walks in 181 plate appearances. Unfortunately he has also struck out 32 times and seemingly lost any extra base power. He has just four doubles and one home run. Tolleson has played three infield positions, but has also DHd a lot.
2007 Projection: may get a late season promotion to New Britain
Potential: utility infielder
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#47 – Deibinson Romero – 3B - 20
2007 Team: Extended Spring Training
Acquired: signed by Twins as free agent from Dominican Republic
We haven't seen Romero yet this spring as he is still at Extended Spring Training. He spent 2006 playing for the GCL Twins so the natural progression would put the now-20 year old in Elizabethton, hopefully dominating Appalachian League pitching. Last year, he hit .313/.365/.460 with 10 doubles, two triples, four homers and 38 RBI in 50 games. He made a great first impression last year and clearly has a lot of potential, but the talent level at E-Town definitely goes up!
2007 Projection: 3B at Elizabethton
Potential: middle of the lineup hitter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2012
#46 –
Zach Ward – RHP – 23
2007 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: in July 31, 2006 trade with Cincinnati Reds for Kyle Lohse
Ward was 7-0 last year before coming to the Twins at the trade deadline. He made six starts for Beloit and went 1-4 with an ERA approaching six. This year, he moved up to Ft. Myers but began the season in the bullpen where he made eight appearances. When Alexander Smit went down with injury, Ward entered the rotation. Overall, he is just 1-6. However, his ERA is just 2.94 and his WHIP is 1.10. I would suspect the Ward will remain in the starting rotation.
2007 Projection: starting for Ft. Myers
Potential: 5th starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#45
–
Cole DeVries – RHP – 22
2007 Team: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Free Agent signing in 2006 out of U. of Minnesota
The Eden Prairie native has had quite the rise in the last nine months. He went 7-3 with a 2.42 ERA in 14 starts for the Gophers, but he still went undrafted. So, he went to the Cape Cod League and pitched very well for Brewster. Well enough that the Twins signed him after the season. He went to Instructional League, and this spring, the Twins sent him to Beloit. He has started out very well and certainly put himself on the prospect map. He is now 4-1 with a 1.35 ERA. In 9 games (seven starts) and 40 innings, he has 31 strikeouts and 12 walks.
2007 Projection: should start at Beloit all year, possible promotion
Potential: 5th starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#44
–
Julio DePaula – RHP –
24
2007 Teams: Rochester Red Wings/Minnesota Twins
Acquired: signed as free agent from Dominican Republic in 1999
Please remember that this is a prospect list based on potential... not necessarily what we have seen in the big leagues so far. In his last appearance, he gave up seven runs on six hits and three walks in an inning. But, his big league debut was very impressive. What is his big trait that makes him a prospect? Between Ft. Myers and New Britain in 2006, he gave up just one home run in 83 innings. He also had just a 2.06 ERA. The Twins put him on the 40 man roster immediately after the season. The fastball and slider combination are his forte.
2007 Projection: back to Rochester, and up and down
Potential: solid middle reliever
Could be in Minnesota in: 2007
#43 –
Brandon Roberts – OF – 22
2007 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Acquired from Reds in 2006 for Juan Castro, 7th round pick in 2005 out of Cal Poly
After coming over from the Reds last summer, Roberts went on an incredible run for the rest of the 2006 season at Ft. Myers. He hit .316/.370/.396 and he stole 27 bases (in 34 attempts). He stole a total of 50 bases last year. This year, however, he moved up to New Britain and hitting and getting on base has been a problem. In 33 games to this point, he is hitting .209/.279/.227 with just two doubles. He also has just four stolen bases in six attempts. There is still a lot of season to go, but he needs to start heating up soon, and running the bases.
2007 Projection: playing CF at New Britain all year
Potential: base stealing fourth/fifth outfield
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#42
–
Felix Molina – SS – 23
2007 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 21st round pick in 2001 from Puerto Rico
Molina was an Eastern League All-Star last year, and he has been passed by Alexi Casilla and Matt Tolbert in the system, so Molina is back in New Britain. He got off to a bad start. Then he hit in 13 straight games to get to over .300. But he is now back down to hitting .260/.338/.354 with seven extra base hits. He is also 1-5 in stolen base attempts. Although he should hit, it would appear his future would be as a backup middle infielder and pinch hitter.
2007 Projection: probably stay at New Britain
Potential: solid pinch hitter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#41
–
Garrett
Guzman – OF – 25
2007 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 10th round pick in 2001 out of LaMirada (CA) high school
After missing all of 2005 with injury, Guzman came back with an excellent 2006 season. He spent half the season at Ft. Myers and the other half at New Britain. He combined for 41 extra base hits! He is back with the Rockcats in 2007 and is getting a lot of at bats. He is hitting .263/.304/.374 with nine extra base hits (3 HR).
2007 Projection: New Britain OF, with a chance to move up to Rochester late
Potential: pinch hitting OF
Could be in Minnesota in: 2008
Twins and their Minor League Updates
Here are the Twins updates from last night, including game reports of their minor league affiliates.
Thursday SethSpeaks Player of the Day – Brian Buscher, New Britain Rockcats
Thursday SethSpeaks Pitcher of the Day – Ryan Mullins, Ft. Myers Miracle
ROCHESTER
REPORT
Thursday - Red Wings 6, Durham 10 (14) – The Red Wings just drove back home from Virginia on Wednesday and played a Thursday afternoon game against Durham. They even went an extra five innings before Durham had a big 14th inning. Nick Blackburn started and gave up three runs (2 earned) on six hits and two walks. Jeremy Cummings went two shutout innings. Ricky Barrett gave up two runs on three hits and a walk in one inning. Before he was summoned to the big leagues, Jason Miller gave up a solo homer in his 1.1 innings. Bobby Korecky then went 2.2 shutout innings, in which he struck out five. Brian Bass pitched a scoreless inning, but then he gave up four runs in the 14th to take the loss. Jose Morales led the offense. He went 3-3 despite coming in after Trent Oeltjen pinch ran for Matthew Lecroy. Gil Velazquez, who has been playing SS in place of Matt Tolbert who has a strained oblique, went 2-5 with two doubles. Matt Moses and Garrett Jones went 2-7. Moses hit his 8th double. Alexi Casilla went 1-4 with two walks and two stolen bases. He now has 11.
NEW BRITAIN
NEWS
Thursday - Rockcats
12, Bowie 2
– New Britain got the bats rolling in
this game, something they definitely needed. Brian Buscher
led the way. The 3B went 4-5 with his 13th double, his 3rd homer and
three RBI. David Winfree went 2-4 with a walk, his third
homer and two RBI. Rashad Eldridge went 2-4 with a walk, his
sixth double and three RBI. Garrett Guzman went 2-4 with a
walk. Brock Peterson was 2-6. Kyle Geiger hit his
first homer of the season. Jesse Floyd was the recipient of
the runs, but he pitched well too. He improved to 3-3 with seven
solid innings. He gave up two runs on four hits. He walked one and
struck out five. Tim Lahey and Frank Mata each went a
scoreless inning.
FT MYERS MEMOS
Thursday - Miracle
5, Daytona 0
–
Ryan Mullins has been absolutely incredible of late. In this
game, he went eight shutout innings. He allowed three hits and a
walk while striking out six. (So now in his last five starts, he is
3-1with a 0.86 ERA in 31.1 innings) Angel Garcia gave up two
hits in a scoreless ninth inning. Luis Ugueto provided much
of the offense. The 28 year old went 3-4 with a homer and three RBI.
Toby Gardenhire went 3-3 with his fourth double.
BELOIT
BITS
Thursday - Snappers 2, West Michigan 3
– Danny Valencia, Danny Berg
and Greg Yersich each hit a double, and Brian Dinkelman
hit his 4th home run. Unfortunately, it was not enough for the win.
Cole DeVries started and gave up three runs (2 earned) on
seven hits in seven innings. He walked two and struck out three.
Dan Leatherman then pitched a scoreless 8th. Jesus Carnevales
pitched a shutout ninth despite allowing two hits and a walk. Joe
Benson hit a triple with two outs in the ninth. It was followed
by a Chris Parmalee walk, but they were unable to score.
Do you have any further thoughts on any Twins prospects, minor leaguers, or these summaries? E-mail me, or also feel free to leave comments below.
That is it for today. Have a great day!
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